"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Saturday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Waikatomake playoffs62.3%+24.4Waikato 26 - 15 North HarbourMitre 10
ManawatuHome Quarterfinal76.0+23.7Waikato 26 - 15 North HarbourMitre 10
Aucklandmake playoffs55.9+22.7Taranaki 55 - 28 Hawke’s BayMitre 10
TaranakiHome Quarterfinal70.7+21.1Taranaki 55 - 28 Hawke’s BayMitre 10
New Zealandwin title78.3+20.6Argentina 26 - 24 South AfricaRugby 2016
Vinbergs IFwin title48.5+19.8Dalstorps IF 0 - 1 Vinbergs IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
Wimborne TownPremier Division Playoff58.0+16.2Yate Town 0 - 3 Wimborne TownDivision One So
North LeighPremier Division Playoff37.7+14.9Paulton Rovers 0 - 3 North LeighDivision One So
Tiverton TownPremier Division Playoff61.2+13.6Winchester City 0 - 4 Tiverton TownDivision One So
RoPSUEFA EL48.2+13.2RoPS 3 - 0 FC LahtiVeikkausliiga
Down
North HarbourHome Quarterfinal12.2-28.6Waikato 26 - 15 North HarbourMitre 10
Hawke’s Baymake playoffs12.8-25.6Taranaki 55 - 28 Hawke’s BayMitre 10
Dalstorps IFrelegated77.3+22.7Dalstorps IF 0 - 1 Vinbergs IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
Paulton RoversPremier Division Playoff10.7-21.5Paulton Rovers 0 - 3 North LeighDivision One So
NorthlandRelegated42.1+20.8Waikato 26 - 15 North HarbourMitre 10
Eskilsminne IFwin title26.7-16.4Höganäs BK 3 - 1 Eskilsminne IFDiv 2 Västra Gö
South Africawin title20.6-16.0Argentina 26 - 24 South AfricaRugby 2016
Counties Manukaumake playoffs23.1-14.7Waikato 26 - 15 North HarbourMitre 10
Norwich CityPremier League9.0-13.4Birmingham City 3 - 0 Norwich CityChampionship
Barnstaple TownPremier Division Playoff9.0-12.7Barnstaple Town 0 - 2 Hereford FCDivision One So

Sunday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
AtromitosvsLevadiakos153Greece Super League
PanetolikosvsPanionios151Greece Super League
XanthivsOlympiakos151Greece Super League
PanathinaikosvsKerkyra151Greece Super League
PAOKvsGiannina121Greece Super League
PortlandvsSeattle76MLS
Counties ManukauvsBay of Plenty74Mitre 10
TimbersvsSounders5:00 PM71MLS
OrlandovsNYCFC7:00 PM49MLS
IFK MariehamnvsVPS6:30 PM49Veikkausliiga